Aaaaaaright. Enuff of this shit!!! I hope they get this one wrong, but it looks to be a heavy wet snow for the region
. All of you snowmobilers should be fapping to beat the band right about now. 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
636 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009
.DISCUSSION...
ALTHOUGH MOST EYES ARE STILL ON THE RED RIVER AND SOME FLOODING IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS...THE BIG STORY EARLY IN THE NEW WORK WEEK WILL BE AN EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM. SURFACE CYCLONE BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. SURFACE SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS AND DEEPEN BY SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW BALL KICKS OFF OUT WEST BY EARLY TUESDAY AS 991MB CYCLONE IS OBSERVED OVER SOUTHERN IA. GFS40 MODEL OF CHOICE DUE TO ITS DEPICTION OF PCPN OVER EASTERN IA THIS MORNING. USED 290K ISENTROPIC ANAL TO PROG SNOW INITIATION OF PCPN ACROSS CWA. 850 TEMPS ARE DEFINITELY COOLER THEN TWENTY FOUR HOURS AGO. THIS WOULD PORTEND A MOSTLY SNOW EVEN ACROSS MOST OF FA...SAVE FAR SOUTH CENTRAL WHICH SHOULD EXPECT A RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALL OF CENTRAL AND MUCH OF WESTERN WI ENGULFED BY SNOWFALL BY THE LATE AFTN HOURS ON MONDAY. JUST ABOUT EVERY INGREDIENT SEEMS TO BE WORKING FOR THIS SNOW EVENT...LONG DURATION...SPECIFIC HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 2 AND 4GM/KG RIGHT INTO TUE...EXCELLENT DR. DENDRITE NUMBERS BETWEEN -12 AND -14C MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...SOLID ADIABATIC OMEGA FIGURES. ONLY THING LACKING AT FIRST WILL BE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AS NOTED ON 250MB HEIGHTS. FIRST NOTICEABLE DIVERGENCE COUPLET APPEARS NEAR NOSE OF 95KT JET STREAK PUSHING INTO SW MN BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING. RIGHT REAR QUAD OF SAME JET AXIS DEVELOPS SERIOUS UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ACROSS ENTIRE CWA BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THROWING TOGETHER QPF VALUES AND ENHANCEMENT FROM DR. DENDRITE NUMBERS INDICATING A SWATH OF 8 TO 10 INCH SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF MN FA NORTH OF SPRINGFIELD TO ZUMBROTA LINE. SOUTH OF THIS LINE THE INITIAL RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL SUBTRACT FROM TOTALS GIVING POSSIBLE TWO TO FOUR INCH AMOUNTS. FRONTOGENETIC FORCING REALLY GETS INTO GEAR OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL MN BY DAYLIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY. IF THIS OCCURS LOOK FOR SOME WIDELY SCATTERED REPORTS OF SNOWFALL BETWEEN 10 AND 15 INCHES THIS REGION. WENT WITH WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF REGION...BUT COULD ACTUALLY NEED BLIZZARD WATCH FAR WEST LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY ASSOCIATED WITH
DEEPENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW. SURFACE LOW WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO FILL LATE TUESDAY EVENING AS IT TREKS INTO WEST CENTRAL WI. CUT OFF 50H LOW JUST TO THE LEE OF SURFACE SYSTEM WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR SLOW PROGRESSION OF OVERALL SYSTEM. WHOLE KITTEN KABUDAL WILL FINALLY EXIT INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY WED AFTERNOON.


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
636 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009
.DISCUSSION...
ALTHOUGH MOST EYES ARE STILL ON THE RED RIVER AND SOME FLOODING IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS...THE BIG STORY EARLY IN THE NEW WORK WEEK WILL BE AN EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM. SURFACE CYCLONE BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. SURFACE SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS AND DEEPEN BY SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW BALL KICKS OFF OUT WEST BY EARLY TUESDAY AS 991MB CYCLONE IS OBSERVED OVER SOUTHERN IA. GFS40 MODEL OF CHOICE DUE TO ITS DEPICTION OF PCPN OVER EASTERN IA THIS MORNING. USED 290K ISENTROPIC ANAL TO PROG SNOW INITIATION OF PCPN ACROSS CWA. 850 TEMPS ARE DEFINITELY COOLER THEN TWENTY FOUR HOURS AGO. THIS WOULD PORTEND A MOSTLY SNOW EVEN ACROSS MOST OF FA...SAVE FAR SOUTH CENTRAL WHICH SHOULD EXPECT A RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALL OF CENTRAL AND MUCH OF WESTERN WI ENGULFED BY SNOWFALL BY THE LATE AFTN HOURS ON MONDAY. JUST ABOUT EVERY INGREDIENT SEEMS TO BE WORKING FOR THIS SNOW EVENT...LONG DURATION...SPECIFIC HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 2 AND 4GM/KG RIGHT INTO TUE...EXCELLENT DR. DENDRITE NUMBERS BETWEEN -12 AND -14C MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...SOLID ADIABATIC OMEGA FIGURES. ONLY THING LACKING AT FIRST WILL BE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AS NOTED ON 250MB HEIGHTS. FIRST NOTICEABLE DIVERGENCE COUPLET APPEARS NEAR NOSE OF 95KT JET STREAK PUSHING INTO SW MN BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING. RIGHT REAR QUAD OF SAME JET AXIS DEVELOPS SERIOUS UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ACROSS ENTIRE CWA BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THROWING TOGETHER QPF VALUES AND ENHANCEMENT FROM DR. DENDRITE NUMBERS INDICATING A SWATH OF 8 TO 10 INCH SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF MN FA NORTH OF SPRINGFIELD TO ZUMBROTA LINE. SOUTH OF THIS LINE THE INITIAL RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL SUBTRACT FROM TOTALS GIVING POSSIBLE TWO TO FOUR INCH AMOUNTS. FRONTOGENETIC FORCING REALLY GETS INTO GEAR OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL MN BY DAYLIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY. IF THIS OCCURS LOOK FOR SOME WIDELY SCATTERED REPORTS OF SNOWFALL BETWEEN 10 AND 15 INCHES THIS REGION. WENT WITH WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF REGION...BUT COULD ACTUALLY NEED BLIZZARD WATCH FAR WEST LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY ASSOCIATED WITH
DEEPENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW. SURFACE LOW WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO FILL LATE TUESDAY EVENING AS IT TREKS INTO WEST CENTRAL WI. CUT OFF 50H LOW JUST TO THE LEE OF SURFACE SYSTEM WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR SLOW PROGRESSION OF OVERALL SYSTEM. WHOLE KITTEN KABUDAL WILL FINALLY EXIT INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY WED AFTERNOON.
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